最近有消息称，OpenAI 内部曾撰写了一篇关于通用人工智能（AGI）分级的研究论文，但最终选择了不予公开。这一决定引发了广泛关注，尤其因为它被认为与公司最重要的合作伙伴微软之间的复杂关系紧密相连。这篇未见的论文，似乎触及了技术发展的核心定义，也牵动着巨额投资下的商业神经。
Sources suggest that this internal paper, potentially titled “Five Levels of General AI Capabilities,” outlined a framework for classifying the progressive stages of AI technology. Making explicit assertions about future capabilities within this document could complicate OpenAI’s strategic positioning, particularly regarding the pivotal moment of declaring “achieved AGI,” which is a crucial point of leverage in ongoing negotiations and their partnership structure.
OpenAI 与微软之间的合作关系，在很大程度上取决于对通用人工智能（AGI）这一概念的界定。一旦 OpenAI 宣称达到 AGI，其与微软的协议条款可能会发生变化，甚至影响微软对 OpenAI 未来技术的访问权限。这篇论文中对 AGI 不同阶段的划分和描述，无疑会直接影响到这一关键定义，从而制造了内部的技术愿景与外部的商业谈判之间的紧张。
Reports indicate that internal discussions at OpenAI frequently cited the Microsoft partnership as a significant factor for delaying the paper’s release. While OpenAI has also suggested the delay is due to not meeting technical criteria, the timing and context strongly suggest that the potential implications for their multi-billion dollar relationship with Microsoft played a critical role. Microsoft, having invested heavily, is reportedly keen on clarity, or perhaps renegotiation, around clauses tied to AGI achievement.
这起事件揭示了在 AI 飞速发展的时代，即使是技术定义本身也充满了商业博弈。一篇关于技术分级的研究论文，不再仅仅是学术探讨，而是可能重塑大型科技公司合作格局的关键棋子。如何平衡前沿技术的探索、对未来的诚实预判与错综复杂的商业利益，是所有致力于推动 AGI 发展的机构都必须面对的深刻挑战。
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